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HockeyWeights

Shooting vs Career

2026-27

Who's scoring more than usual on his shots this season, and who's due: goals above or below what his own career shooting % would give on the same shots. Pick a player to chart his career.


Evan Bouchard has 3.1 goals more than his career rate gives; David Pastrnak is 2.0 goals behind his.

Some clubs have played only 2 games, so these numbers will move a lot.

How it's worked out →

Evan Bouchard Edmonton Oilers

This season 30.8% · Career 7.0% · +3.1 goals vs career rate

Shooting % in each NHL regular season. Green above his career average (the dashed line), red below; the big dot is 2026-27.

0%10%20%30%Career 7.0%18-1920-2121-2222-2323-2424-2525-2626-2718-19: 10.0%, 1 goal on 10 shots20-21: 5.3%, 2 goals on 38 shots21-22: 5.9%, 12 goals on 205 shots22-23: 5.1%, 8 goals on 156 shots23-24: 8.2%, 18 goals on 220 shots24-25: 6.0%, 14 goals on 235 shots25-26: 9.5%, 21 goals on 221 shots2026-27 (this season): 30.8%, 4 goals on 13 shots
Show as table
SeasonGSSh%
18-1911010.0%
20-212385.3%
21-22122055.9%
22-2381565.1%
23-24182208.2%
24-25142356.0%
25-26212219.5%
2026-27 (this season)41330.8%

Every shooter

Pick a name to chart his career.

500 skatersSorted by goals vs career, highest first
#PlayerPos
1 Edmonton OilersD341330.87.0+3.10.7+3.3
2 Vancouver CanucksLW44757.113.9+3.00.9+3.1
3 Colorado AvalancheLW23560.011.6+2.40.8+2.2
4 New York RangersRW43650.012.0+2.31.7+1.3
5 Utah MammothC341330.814.0+2.21.5+2.5
6 Minnesota WildLW23650.016.5+2.02.2+0.8
7 Vancouver CanucksC43742.914.7+2.00.8+2.2
8 Seattle KrakenRW22366.79.0+1.70.3+1.7
9 Edmonton OilersRW331323.110.5+1.62.1+0.9
10 Ottawa SenatorsRW22366.712.8+1.60.7+1.3
11 Florida PanthersC32450.010.7+1.60.9+1.1
12 Dallas StarsD32825.05.4+1.60.6+1.4
13 Colorado AvalancheC22540.011.9+1.40.8+1.2
14 New York RangersRW42450.015.4+1.40.9+1.1
15 St. Louis BluesRW22540.012.6+1.40.5+1.5
16 Washington CapitalsRW22540.013.0+1.41.1+0.9
17 Ottawa SenatorsC22540.014.0+1.30.7+1.3
18 San Jose SharksC32540.014.3+1.31.1+0.9
19 Pittsburgh PenguinsC32540.014.3+1.30.6+1.4
20 Pittsburgh PenguinsLW32633.312.5+1.30.5+1.5
21 Utah MammothRW331225.014.7+1.21.1+1.9
22 Pittsburgh PenguinsC22728.611.3+1.20.8+1.2
23 Carolina HurricanesC331225.015.0+1.21.4+1.6
24 Columbus Blue JacketsLW22540.016.3+1.20.7+1.3
25 Montreal CanadiensRW22633.314.2+1.10.5+1.5
26 Los Angeles KingsLW22633.314.5+1.10.9+1.1
27 Vegas Golden KnightsLW32728.612.8+1.10.5+1.5
28 Seattle KrakenRW32728.612.9+1.11.5+0.5
29 Pittsburgh PenguinsC32728.613.5+1.10.7+1.3
30 Colorado AvalancheC22825.013.1+1.00.7+1.3
31 Vancouver CanucksD411100.05.5+0.90.1+0.9
32 Edmonton OilersC32728.615.1+0.91.3+0.7
33 Buffalo SabresRW22922.211.8+0.91.4+0.6
34 Winnipeg JetsD31250.03.0+0.90.1+0.9
35 Los Angeles KingsD21250.03.6+0.90.1+0.9
36 Boston BruinsRW42825.013.4+0.91.2+0.8
37 Toronto Maple LeafsRW32825.013.5+0.91.5+0.5
38 Edmonton OilersD311100.08.3+0.90.2+0.8
39 Anaheim DucksLW21250.04.5+0.90.1+0.9
40 Vancouver CanucksC42728.615.8+0.90.7+1.3
41 Florida PanthersD21250.05.4+0.90.1+0.9
42 Winnipeg JetsC321020.011.1+0.92.4−0.4
43 Pittsburgh PenguinsRW21333.33.9+0.90.3+0.7
44 Buffalo SabresD21250.06.0+0.90.2+0.8
45 Colorado AvalancheLW211100.012.1+0.90.0+1.0
46 Seattle KrakenRW311100.012.7+0.90.1+0.9
47 Colorado AvalancheD21333.34.6+0.90.1+0.9
48 Washington CapitalsC211100.014.3+0.90.1+0.9
49 Anaheim DucksLW22922.212.8+0.91.0+1.0
50 Minnesota WildD21250.07.5+0.80.0+1.0

Goals vs career = goals minus shots × his career shooting %. Career = every NHL regular season before this one, all teams. Skaters under 50 career shots (most rookies) have no fair baseline and aren't listed. Shooting % swings a lot over short stretches and drifts back toward a player's norm, which is why a cold start often means “due”. Shootouts don't count.