41%
Playoff odds
56
Points pace
Outside the playoff spots, 1 point behind MTL. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Nashville Predators
Tuesday, October 6 · 7:00 p.m. ET TSN4
Playoff odds after Tuesday's gameWin → 44%OT loss → 40%Loss → 38%
First of 2 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Maple Leafs
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | 2 | .887 | +0.9 |
| Anthony Stolarz | 1 | .963 | +2.0 |
Maple Leafs
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | 2 | .933 | +1.5 |
| Justus Annunen | 0 | — | — |
| Matt Murray | 0 | — | — |
Sat, Oct 3 · @ Maple Leafs
3–2W
Senators beat the Maple Leafs 3–2 and earned it, out-chancing them 4.8–3.2 in expected goals.
Top Maple Leafs ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
Sep 29 · vs MTL
2–3L
xG 2.7–3.6
Shot share 49%
Sep 30 · vs NYI
2–1W
xG 2.6–3.0
Shot share 41%
Oct 3 · vs OTT
2–3L
xG 3.2–4.8
Shot share 61%
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Easton Cowan (1.87)
1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG
William Nylander (1.72)
2 G · 5 SOG
Darren Raddysh (1.60)
1 A · 2 SOG
Auston Matthews (1.58)
1 G · 6 SOG
Anthony Stolarz (1.49)
+2.0 goals saved above expected
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
48.2%
21st/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
50.8%
17th/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
54.5%
12th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
95.8
24th/ 325v5 Sh% 6.2 · Sv% 89.7
Luck2 pts · deserved 2.95-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
+2.9
6th/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
2.00
23rd/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
2.33
9th/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
27.67
14th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
26.67
14th/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
18.2%
18th/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
100.0%
1st/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
47.0%
23rd/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.912
13th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 3 games so far
Goalie carrying them
Their goaltending is stopping far more than an average goalie would behind a defence that gives up a lot.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 2+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
No Maple Leafs clutch points yet this season. The first late equalizer or OT winner will show up here.
See the league's clutch leaders (52 players)2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
25.0% this season · 13.5% career
25.0% this season · 12.0% career
16.7% this season · 11.5% career
Due
0.0% this season · 13.3% career
0.0% this season · 12.7% career
0.0% this season · 7.8% career
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Maple Leafs shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
0.7
19th/ 32Distance skated
131.8 mi
17th/ 32League avg 122.4 mi
Shots over 90 mph
7
1st/ 32Offensive-zone time
40.6%
18th/ 32League avg 40.9%
Defensive-zone time
42.5%
23rd/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending