45%
Playoff odds
56
Points pace
Outside the playoff spots, 2 points behind VGK. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Buffalo Sabres
Thursday, October 8 · 6:00 p.m. CT
Playoff odds after Thursday's gameWin → 49%OT loss → 45%Loss → 42%
First of 2 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Stars
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | 2 | .943 | +2.2 |
| Casey DeSmith | 1 | .923 | +0.3 |
Sabres
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | 2 | .784 | -3.2 |
| Alex Lyon | 0 | — | — |
| Colten Ellis | 0 | — | — |
Mon, Oct 5 · @ Stars
0–5L
Stars beat the Sharks 5–0 and earned it, out-chancing them 4.0–1.9 in expected goals and 17–5 in high-danger chances.
Top Stars ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
Oct 2 · vs STL
0–4L
xG 3.1–3.4
Shot share 51%
Oct 3 · @ NSH
1–2L
xG 2.2–2.3
Shot share 54%
Oct 5 · vs SJS
5–0W
xG 4.0–1.9
Shot share 68%
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Jason Robertson (3.00)
1 G · 1 A · 4 SOG
Jamie Benn (2.55)
1 G · 1 A · 4 SOG
Roope Hintz (2.42)
2 A · 1 SOG
Miro Heiskanen (2.20)
1 G · 2 SOG
Mikko Rantanen (1.93)
1 G · 3 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
55.2%
12th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
57.7%
8th/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
56.3%
11th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
106.1
7th/ 325v5 Sh% 10.3 · Sv% 95.7
Luck2 pts · deserved 4.15-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
+2.5
9th/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
2.00
23rd/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
2.00
7th/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
27.00
16th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
21.00
4th/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
0.0%
23rd/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
77.8%
19th/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
55.1%
5th/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.934
7th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 3 games so far
Unlucky: better than the record
They're controlling play, but the points haven't followed. The results usually catch up.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 2+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
No Stars clutch points yet this season. The first late equalizer or OT winner will show up here.
See the league's clutch leaders (52 players)2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
25.0% this season · 5.4% career
33.3% this season · 10.3% career
16.7% this season · 13.3% career
Due
0.0% this season · 17.1% career
0.0% this season · 11.3% career
0.0% this season · 10.7% career
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Stars shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
0.3
28th/ 32Distance skated
134.5 mi
15th/ 32League avg 122.4 mi
Shots over 90 mph
1
14th/ 32Offensive-zone time
42.8%
13th/ 32League avg 40.9%
Defensive-zone time
39.1%
12th/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending