61%
Playoff odds
168
Points pace
Holding a playoff spot (1st in the Atlantic), 2 points ahead of NYI. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Detroit Red Wings
Tuesday, October 6 · 7:00 p.m. ET TSN5, RDS2
Playoff odds after Tuesday's gameWin → 65%OT loss → 61%Loss → 58%
First of 4 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Senators
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | 2 | .949 | +2.8 |
| Samuel Ersson | 1 | .889 | -0.3 |
| Jonas Johansson | 0 | — | — |
Red Wings
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 2 | .915 | +0.8 |
| Daniil Tarasov | 0 | — | — |
Mon, Oct 5 · @ Bruins
4–1W
Senators beat the Bruins 4–1 in an even game: expected goals were 2.4–2.3 and 10–6 in high-danger chances.
Top Senators ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
The trend line appears after three games.
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Tim Stützle (2.82)
2 G · 1 A · 3 SOG
Thomas Chabot (2.40)
1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG
Michael Amadio (2.10)
1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG
Claude Giroux (1.53)
2 A · 4 SOG
Michael Amadio (1.27)
1 G · 1 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 2 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
52.3%
16th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
47.2%
20th/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
50.0%
17th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
109.2
3rd/ 325v5 Sh% 14.6 · Sv% 94.6
Luck4 pts · deserved 2.75-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
+2.5
8th/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
3.50
10th/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
1.50
3rd/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
26.50
18th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
24.00
10th/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
0.0%
23rd/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
87.5%
13th/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
52.8%
11th/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.938
5th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 2 games so far
Run-and-gun
with a streak of goalie carrying them
Chances galore at both ends. Their games are fun to watch and rarely tidy.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 1+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
No Senators clutch points yet this season. The first late equalizer or OT winner will show up here.
See the league's clutch leaders (52 players)2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
66.7% this season · 12.8% career
40.0% this season · 14.0% career
33.3% this season · 5.9% career
Due
0.0% this season · 13.0% career
0.0% this season · 10.7% career
0.0% this season · 10.4% career
Only 2 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Senators shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
0.0
31st/ 32Distance skated
90.6 mi
26th/ 32League avg 122.4 mi
Shots over 90 mph
2
9th/ 32Offensive-zone time
41.7%
15th/ 32League avg 40.9%
Defensive-zone time
39.9%
13th/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending