38%
Playoff odds
0
Points pace
Outside the playoff spots, 3 points behind MTL. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Ottawa Senators
Tuesday, October 6 · 7:00 p.m. ET TSN5, RDS2
Playoff odds after Tuesday's gameWin → 41%OT loss → 37%Loss → 34%
First of 4 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Red Wings
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 2 | .915 | +0.8 |
| Daniil Tarasov | 0 | — | — |
Red Wings
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | 2 | .949 | +2.8 |
| Samuel Ersson | 1 | .889 | -0.3 |
| Jonas Johansson | 0 | — | — |
Sun, Oct 4 · @ Red Wings
3–2W
Jets beat the Red Wings 3–2 despite being out-chanced 4.1–3.4 in expected goals and 19–13 in high-danger chances. Stuart Skinner saved 2.1 goals more than expected.
Top Red Wings ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
The trend line appears after three games.
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (1.70)
1 A · 6 SOG
Emmitt Finnie (1.53)
1 G · 2 SOG
Alex DeBrincat (1.45)
1 A · 4 SOG
Andrew Copp (1.13)
1 A · 1 SOG
Moritz Seider (1.13)
1 A · 3 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 2 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
55.3%
11th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
59.2%
3rd/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
62.9%
5th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
102.4
13th/ 325v5 Sh% 2.4 · Sv% 100.0
Luck0 pts · deserved 2.45-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
+0.8
17th/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
1.00
31st/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
2.50
12th/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
28.50
13th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
24.00
10th/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
14.3%
20th/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
50.0%
31st/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
56.7%
3rd/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.915
12th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 2 games so far
Unlucky: better than the record
with a streak of puck hogs
They're controlling play, but the points haven't followed. The results usually catch up.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 1+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
No Red Wings clutch points yet this season. The first late equalizer or OT winner will show up here.
See the league's clutch leaders (52 players)2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
33.3% this season · 10.8% career
20.0% this season · 11.2% career
Due
0.0% this season · 14.2% career
0.0% this season · 14.5% career
0.0% this season · 10.3% career
Only 2 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Red Wings shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
0.0
31st/ 32Distance skated
89.3 mi
30th/ 32League avg 122.4 mi
Shots over 90 mph
3
2nd/ 32Offensive-zone time
43.1%
12th/ 32League avg 40.9%
Defensive-zone time
41.1%
16th/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending