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Final

MIN at NSH game report

Wild
3–1
Predators

Thursday, October 1, 2026 · 7:00 p.m. CT · Bridgestone Arena

Wild beat the Predators 3–1 and earned it, out-chancing them 3.3–1.8 in expected goals and 10–6 in high-danger chances.

Team comparison

NSHMIN
  • 1Goals3
  • 1.80Expected goals3.31
  • 1.105-on-5 expected goals2.12
  • 6High-danger chances10
  • 20Shots on goal30
  • 46Shot attempts62
  • 335-on-5 shot attempts45
  • 10:07Power-play time7:14

5-on-5 shares for NSH: 42.3% of shot attempts, 34.2% of expected goals.

Expected goals through the game

PredatorsWildCircles mark goals

Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.

Shot map

Wild shooting ←→ Predators shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 5:54)Matthew Wood: missed, 0.00 xG (P1 11:04)Ross Colton: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 11:38)Jared Spurgeon: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 4:10)Joel Eriksson Ek: missed, 0.00 xG (P1 17:54)Roman Josi: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 19:21)Ross Colton: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 9:51)Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 5:51)Nicolas Hague: missed, 0.01 xG (P3 12:55)Zach Bogosian: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 11:32)Kirill Kaprizov: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 17:29)Kirill Kaprizov: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 19:59)Quinn Hughes: missed, 0.01 xG (P3 1:37)Filip Forsberg: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 5:05)Nils Hoglander: missed, 0.01 xG (P2 12:32)Roman Josi: missed, 0.02 xG (P1 0:13)Nils Hoglander: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 12:49)Alexander Kerfoot: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 5:43)Reid Schaefer: missed, 0.02 xG (P1 2:28)Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 7:04)Reid Schaefer: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 10:12)Ryan O'Reilly: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 0:15)Quinn Hughes: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 18:33)Reid Schaefer: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 2:27)Ryan O'Reilly: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 17:45)Quinn Hughes: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 4:28)Filip Forsberg: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 15:47)Maxim Shabanov: missed, 0.03 xG (P3 15:35)Michael McCarron: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 5:17)Michael McCarron: missed, 0.03 xG (P2 18:23)Jonathan Marchessault: missed, 0.03 xG, high danger (P1 16:49)Joel Eriksson Ek: missed, 0.03 xG (P2 19:59)Matt Boldy: missed, 0.03 xG (P2 16:05)Nick Foligno: shot on goal, 0.03 xG, high danger (P3 3:33)Marcus Foligno: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 13:42)Jonathan Marchessault: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 2:10)Yakov Trenin: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 15:39)Bobby Brink: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 1:33)Michael McCarron: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 3:17)Michael McCarron: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P1 9:32)Jonathan Marchessault: missed, 0.04 xG (P1 10:21)Kirill Kaprizov: missed, 0.04 xG (P1 12:40)Ryan Ufko: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P1 18:08)Roman Josi: goal, 0.05 xG (P2 9:23)Mavrik Bourque: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P1 13:57)Quinn Hughes: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 9:34)Mavrik Bourque: shot on goal, 0.05 xG, high danger (P1 16:48)Michael McCarron: shot on goal, 0.05 xG, high danger (P3 3:19)Matt Boldy: missed, 0.06 xG (P3 4:22)Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P1 10:50)Roman Josi: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P1 3:23)Maxim Shabanov: missed, 0.07 xG (P2 14:03)Matthew Wood: missed, 0.08 xG (P3 12:46)Kirill Kaprizov: goal, 0.08 xG, high danger (P3 4:42)Joel Eriksson Ek: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P2 16:19)Steven Stamkos: shot on goal, 0.08 xG, high danger (P2 3:34)Kirill Kaprizov: missed, 0.08 xG (P1 7:31)Mavrik Bourque: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P1 4:42)Kirill Kaprizov: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P3 8:19)Kirill Kaprizov: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P3 17:13)Quinn Hughes: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P2 19:41)Bobby Brink: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P1 13:30)Adam Edstrom: missed, 0.09 xG, high danger (P1 2:32)Joel Eriksson Ek: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P1 6:55)Ryan Hartman: missed, 0.09 xG (P2 9:50)Ryan O'Reilly: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P2 9:06)Matt Boldy: missed, 0.09 xG (P2 12:08)Ryan O'Reilly: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P2 3:33)Mavrik Bourque: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P3 5:18)Quinn Hughes: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P3 4:00)Quinn Hughes: missed, 0.10 xG (P2 17:45)Joel Eriksson Ek: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P1 7:14)Danila Yurov: shot on goal, 0.12 xG, high danger (P1 12:05)Kirill Kaprizov: missed, 0.12 xG, high danger (P2 19:33)Adam Edstrom: shot on goal, 0.13 xG, high danger (P2 3:07)Blake Coleman: shot on goal, 0.13 xG (P2 11:33)Nick Perbix: missed, 0.13 xG (P3 7:09)Kirill Kaprizov: missed, 0.14 xG, high danger (P1 10:55)Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.15 xG, high danger (P2 16:20)Nick Foligno: goal, 0.15 xG, high danger (P1 9:35)Filip Forsberg: shot on goal, 0.17 xG, high danger (P3 17:30)Steven Stamkos: missed, 0.18 xG (P1 3:38)Marcus Foligno: missed, 0.25 xG, high danger (P3 10:45)Blake Coleman: goal, 0.30 xG, high danger (P1 13:48)

By strength

Time, shot attempts, expected goals and goals by strength, from NSH's point of view
NSH at…TimeAttemptsxGGoals
5 on 541:2033–451.10–2.121–2
Power play10:0710–130.67–1.040–1
Shorthanded7:141–20.00–0.030–0
Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net)1:192–20.03–0.120–0

Read pairs as NSH–MIN. “Power play” means NSH had the extra skater.

Goaltending

Goalie results with expected goals against
GoalieSavesSV%xGAGSAx
Jesper Wallstedt MIN19/20.9501.80+0.80
Juuse Saros NSH27/30.9003.31+0.31

GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.

Player ratings

Out of 10, from each player's Game Score (goals, assists, shots, blocks, penalties, faceoffs and 5-on-5 shot and goal differential while on the ice) compared with every NHL game of the last two seasons. 6 is above average, 7 very good, 8 excellent. Goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. ★ = top three of the night. How ratings work

Average ratingPredators5.4Wild6.3

Player ratings for both teams. Select a column heading to sort.
★Top three of the night: Quinn HughesDMIN8.001527:3064.1
★Top three of the night: Kirill KaprizovFMIN7.810320:5367.9
★Top three of the night: Michael McCarronFMIN7.201413:2457.9
Nick FolignoFMIN7.110212:2962.5
Joel Eriksson EkFMIN7.000320:2075.9
Jared SpurgeonDMIN6.801119:0955.9
Bobby BrinkFMIN6.701211:3743.8
Filip ForsbergFNSH6.601219:2950.0
Matt BoldyFMIN6.500521:2867.7
Jesper WallstedtGMIN6.500—59:14—
Blake ColemanFMIN6.410213:4443.8
Olli MaattaDMIN6.201021:3448.5
Marcus FolignoFMIN6.100112:1663.2
Steven StamkosFNSH6.101118:4640.0
Danila YurovFMIN6.101112:2935.7
Daemon HuntDMIN6.100010:0663.6
Roman JosiDNSH6.010324:5332.3
Juuse SarosGNSH6.000—58:19—
Jonas BrodinDMIN5.900020:2852.0
Ross ColtonFNSH5.800212:1560.0
Ryan O'ReillyFNSH5.700421:3145.0
Alexander KerfootFNSH5.700113:2046.2
Adam WilsbyDNSH5.600016:0552.2
Mavrik BourqueFNSH5.600417:2550.0
Nils HoglanderFNSH5.500010:3257.9
Zach BogosianDMIN5.500114:3262.5
Adam EdstromFNSH5.400110:5038.9
Ryan UfkoDNSH5.200115:2750.0
Matthew WoodFNSH5.100017:2247.8
Nick PerbixDNSH5.000018:0452.2
Maxim ShabanovFMIN5.000015:0943.8
Yakov TreninFMIN4.900012:4443.8
Nicolas HagueDNSH4.800015:2342.9
Jack DruryFNSH4.700012:5027.8
Brady SkjeiDNSH4.700020:5334.5
Ryan HartmanFMIN4.600012:5441.2
Jonathan MarchessaultFNSH4.500017:2039.1
Reid SchaeferFNSH4.500111:3520.8

Lines used

Each team's most-used forward lines and defence pairs at 5 on 5, from the NHL's shift charts · time together · shot attempts for–against · expected goals for–against

Predators

Forward lines

  • Drury – Edstrom – Schaefer7:48 · 4–10 · xG 0.2–0.4
  • Marchessault – Colton – Bourque6:47 · 7–5 · xG 0.2–0.2
  • Forsberg – Hoglander – Wood4:46 · 6–2 · xG 0.1–0.1
  • Stamkos – O'Reilly – Kerfoot2:42 · 4–0 · xG 0.2–0.0

Defence pairs

  • Hague – Wilsby12:03 · 10–10 · xG 0.2–0.5
  • Skjei – Perbix10:39 · 9–9 · xG 0.3–0.3
  • Josi – Ufko9:59 · 8–7 · xG 0.2–0.3

Wild

Forward lines

  • Hartman – Trenin – Brink7:34 · 6–8 · xG 0.1–0.2
  • Foligno – Foligno – McCarron7:13 · 10–6 · xG 0.7–0.2
  • Coleman – Eriksson Ek – Boldy6:14 · 7–7 · xG 0.5–0.3
  • Kaprizov – Yurov – Shabanov6:04 · 3–7 · xG 0.1–0.1

Defence pairs

  • Spurgeon – Hughes12:58 · 19–11 · xG 0.8–0.5
  • Brodin – Maatta9:31 · 9–10 · xG 0.5–0.2
  • Bogosian – Hunt7:54 · 4–4 · xG 0.2–0.1

Three stars

  1. ★B. ColemanMIN · 1G 0A
  2. ★★N. FolignoMIN · 1G 0A
  3. ★★★R. JosiNSH · 1G 0A

Scoring

Period 1

  • 09:35MIN N. Foligno (from M. McCarron, O. Maatta)1–0
  • 13:48MIN B. Coleman pp (from B. Brink, D. Yurov)2–0

Period 2

  • 09:23NSH R. Josi (from F. Forsberg, S. Stamkos)2–1

Period 3

  • 04:42MIN K. Kaprizov (from Q. Hughes, J. Spurgeon)3–1